Sunday Service Play Thread 10/31/2021

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BuzzKill

BuzzKill

Let's go Brandon!
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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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BuzzKill

BuzzKill

Let's go Brandon!
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Koy_Detmer

Koy_Detmer

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Clay Travis -
Now the NFL six pack, which, thankfully, has been much better this year than the college picks going 25-18 so far on the year.

Packers at Cardinals -6.5

Giants at Chiefs -10

Titans at Colts -1

Washington at Denver, the under 44.5

Tampa Bay -5.5 at the Saints

Cowboys -1.5 at Vikings
 
Koy_Detmer

Koy_Detmer

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Jeff Ma- 3-2 last week. 21-14 overall
Browns -3.5
Panthers +3
Jets +10.5
Eagles-3.5
Seahawks-3.5
 

Yankees5560

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HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Oct 31 2021 1:00PM
265 SFX -3.0 (-110)Southpoint vs 266 CHI double-dime bet

Analysis:
Don't think the market is properly adjusting to the fact that this Chicago Bears team could be a bottom 5-6 team in the league.

The Bears have the fewest amount of net passing yards at this point in a season for any team since the 2006 Raiders (861 yards). Their offensive line is last in the NFL in sack rate. This is an offense that is bottom tier of the NFL. Defensively, the Bears are living off of their past reputation. This season, the Bears rank 31st in the NFL in pressure percentage. Defensively, they are 29th in YPC allowed. There's no doubt about it, this is a bad team, who's clearly inferior to San Francisco.

The 49ers handled the two easy opponents on their schedule in Detroit and Philadelphia, and could have easily went 2-2 instead of 0-4 in four matchups against above average to elite teams in Arizona, Seattle, Green Bay, and Indianapolis. The big weakness on San Francisco is their secondary, something the Bears lack the ability to take advantage of. I make this game San Fran -4, giving us clear value at a field goal or lower.
4
 

Yankees5560

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HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Oct 31 2021 1:00PM
264 CLE -3.0 (-110)BetOnline vs 263 PIT triple-dime bet

Analysis:
Quite simply, I make this game Browns -3.5 at Keenum at QB, and I make it -6 with Baker at QB. Obviously prefer Mayfield is at quarterback (which some early reports seem to think is very possible), but regardless, I like this game from a power rating standpoint and a matchup standpoint a lot.

Pittsburgh is a bad team, with an immobile quarterback playing behind a poor offensive line who will be tasked with protecting him against one of the leagues best pass rushes. As long as Cleveland's roster is relatively healthy, which it appears they will be coming off a mini bye this week, this is a mismatch of talent.



LINE UPDATE: This game moved to a juiced 3 minutes after my release and is now mostly -3.5 an hour after release. I like this for a 3* up to Browns -4.5.

This is a good time for me to mention that the best way to win long term with me is long term access, and not buying daily. A lot of my early releases will move the market and more times than not I will beat the closing line. Yes, this makes it a little harder to get down on my releases, but it takes some work to win at sports betting. You'll need to set up alerts and be ready to play games when they are sent out. If your capper of choice game releases are not garnering market respect and doesn't beat the closing line, that should concern you.
 

GalenThomas

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Marc Lawrence 26-0 Sunday NFL Prime Time Special is - C Vikings -3. ( Does anyone have his D NFL Play?)
 
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